Dhoni to dominate against Ireland

Driving you to betting success

Nap: Buy Mahendra Dhoni’s performance at 45pts against Ireland (Sporting Index)

I don’t like to often dip into the risky world of spread betting, but now and again it can pop up with some potentially big wins. Sporting index’s player performance markets is a great example, where I look to the Indian skipper to dominate minnows Ireland. The points system works as follows: 1 point for a run, 10 points for a catch, 25 points for a stumping.

The reason why I see this as great value mainly lies in last nights affair between Pakistan and the Netherlands. Pakistan, like India, place their bowling strength in their spinners, and Afridi, Ajmal and Malik absolutely ran through their weak opponents last night. There important point is that Akmal got four stumpings (equivalent of 100 points) as the Netherlands tried to slog their way to victory. Form has shown that the weaker sides cannot play world class spin as well as seam (a contributing factor to England’s loss as opposed to Pakistan’s victory), and this brings wicket keepers to the forefront. Also Dhoni bats at number 3 for India, meaning he can tuck in to the medium pacers with plenty of overs to score from. Akmal would have got 141 points last night, if Dhoni only does half as well you can walk away with a cool 25 point profit. As it is a spread bet where you can lose more than your original stake (here the maximum loss being 45 times your original)I will leave the amount wagered to your own disgression but some around a third or a quarter of a point per unit would suffice.

Seano’s shouts: Jeff Maggert to finish top ten at the St Jude at 12/1 and lay England to score over 5.5 goals at 6/4 (Betfair)

The Stanford St Jude championship has produced the same kind of winner for the past 25 years, (with the exception of Couples in 1991) short hitters who hit the ball very straight, attributes that define the game of Maggert. He came won here in 2006 and came second in 1993 showing that he has the course form for a good showing. Maggert is a veteran and with Toms and Leonard in the field I don’t think he will be able to win. 12/1 on a top ten finish on a course he favours is good value. 1pt Win

Trading at 1.01 to win tonight, there is no doubt whether England will beat Andorra this evening. However on such night’s England are frequently priced to short to hammer opposition by several goals, a feat we have very rarely achieved in the past 15 years. I think England will win comfortably tonight by three or four goals, but I think 6/4 for them to score six or more is unrealistic and should be laid. 1pt lay

Horse: Amour Propre to win the King’s Stand Stakes at Ascot 16th June at 9/2 (Betfair)

Henry Candy could see this horse go all the way next Tuesday in the King’s Stand Stakes. Winner of four out of five starts there is no doubting Amour Propre’s form before one of racing’s most prestigious meets. The antepost 9/2 will definitely shorten before race day so invest now for a future lay. 1pt Win

Outsider: Alan Johnson to be next Prime Minister at 9/1 (Betfair)

It may appear that Gordon Brown has managed to bully the Labour party out of sacking him yet again this week, but rebellion is still rumbling in Westminster. He may have engineered some breathing space with a tepid reshuffle and desk banging in PLP meetings but Brown is far from safe yet. There are rumours still abound about the future of Harriet Harman, and if she bolts it may kick start another round of leadership debate, exacerbated no doubt by the Labour party conference. In any case I think Johnson will dip back to around even money when speculation rises in the next week or so. Brown may hang on, but I think anything above 4/1 should be taken and traded in. 1pt Win

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